German far-right see hope in Trump election win
Frauke Petry, the head of the anti-immigration Alternative for Germany was quick to send her congratulations to the US President elect Donald Trump. Could her party emulate his success?
On Wednesday morning, shortly after Trump's victory over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton was confirmed, Petry tweeted an AfD image which claimed that "this night changes the USA, Europe and the world!"
Herzlichen Glückwunsch an den zukünftigen Präsidenten der Vereinigten Staaten von Amerika, Donald Trump.#USElection2016 #Trump #AfD * pic.twitter.com/H37iJMqW2Y
— Frauke Petry (@FraukePetry) November 9, 2016
Shortly after she tweeted that "Americans have chosen a new beginning free of corruption and sleaze. This is a historic chance."
Die Amerikaner haben sich für den politischen Neuanfang und gegen
Filz/Korruption entschieden - diese Chance ist historisch.#Trump *
— Frauke Petry (@FraukePetry) November 9, 2016
Trump's utterances against immigration, and specifically against Muslims, means there is more than a passing resemblance between him and the AfD, who among other things want a ban on minarets and Muslim face veils.
Germany's Vice-Chancellor Sigmar Gabriel claimed on Wednesday that Trump's victory was a "warning to us" ahead of Germany's general elections next autumn where right-wing populists are expected to make inroads.
But Dr. Carsten Koschmieder, an expert on the AfD at the Free University in Berlin, emphasizes that there is no way the party could emulate Trump's success in next year's election, as far as gaining seats in the German parliament (Bundestag).
“That's not realistic due to Germany electoral system," he explains. "The AfD have no chance of winning an absolute majority. That means they would have to build a coalition."
The party's key demand is that Merkel resigns, ruling out a coalition with her Christian Democratic Union (CDU), Koschmieder argues, adding that alliances with the more left-wing parties are "inconceivable."
The far-right party are likely to use Trump's victory for their own benefit though, the academic says.
"They can now say ‘look the situation in the US is similar to here. The media and all the other parties don't like us, but in America you see that the true will of the people is on Trump's side, and in Germany the true people's will is on our side'.
"They will try and use that to mobilize people who would have normally not voted, but could now be persuaded that things can be changed."
Tactics used by the AfD are also similar to those deployed by the Trump campaign, according to Koschmieder
Like Trump, the AfD have deliberately caused scandal during election campaigns - for instance with comments about shooting children on Germany's borders - so that they can accuse the "Lügenpresse" (lying press) of misinterpreting them intentionally to present them in a poor light, says the academic.
“Through these scandals, you remain a point of debate and make it clear to voters that you are a radical alternative."
“This is no new strategy, but of course the AfD are looking exactly at what Trump has done and how he was successful, and of course they are looking to learn from that."
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On Wednesday morning, shortly after Trump's victory over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton was confirmed, Petry tweeted an AfD image which claimed that "this night changes the USA, Europe and the world!"
Herzlichen Glückwunsch an den zukünftigen Präsidenten der Vereinigten Staaten von Amerika, Donald Trump.#USElection2016 #Trump #AfD * pic.twitter.com/H37iJMqW2Y
— Frauke Petry (@FraukePetry) November 9, 2016
Shortly after she tweeted that "Americans have chosen a new beginning free of corruption and sleaze. This is a historic chance."
Die Amerikaner haben sich für den politischen Neuanfang und gegen
— Frauke Petry (@FraukePetry) November 9, 2016
Filz/Korruption entschieden - diese Chance ist historisch.#Trump *
Trump's utterances against immigration, and specifically against Muslims, means there is more than a passing resemblance between him and the AfD, who among other things want a ban on minarets and Muslim face veils.
Germany's Vice-Chancellor Sigmar Gabriel claimed on Wednesday that Trump's victory was a "warning to us" ahead of Germany's general elections next autumn where right-wing populists are expected to make inroads.
But Dr. Carsten Koschmieder, an expert on the AfD at the Free University in Berlin, emphasizes that there is no way the party could emulate Trump's success in next year's election, as far as gaining seats in the German parliament (Bundestag).
“That's not realistic due to Germany electoral system," he explains. "The AfD have no chance of winning an absolute majority. That means they would have to build a coalition."
The party's key demand is that Merkel resigns, ruling out a coalition with her Christian Democratic Union (CDU), Koschmieder argues, adding that alliances with the more left-wing parties are "inconceivable."
The far-right party are likely to use Trump's victory for their own benefit though, the academic says.
"They can now say ‘look the situation in the US is similar to here. The media and all the other parties don't like us, but in America you see that the true will of the people is on Trump's side, and in Germany the true people's will is on our side'.
"They will try and use that to mobilize people who would have normally not voted, but could now be persuaded that things can be changed."
Tactics used by the AfD are also similar to those deployed by the Trump campaign, according to Koschmieder
Like Trump, the AfD have deliberately caused scandal during election campaigns - for instance with comments about shooting children on Germany's borders - so that they can accuse the "Lügenpresse" (lying press) of misinterpreting them intentionally to present them in a poor light, says the academic.
“Through these scandals, you remain a point of debate and make it clear to voters that you are a radical alternative."
“This is no new strategy, but of course the AfD are looking exactly at what Trump has done and how he was successful, and of course they are looking to learn from that."
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